Tuesday, August 11, 2015

Harbinger Update: Elul 29 = September 13th in 2015

Bookmark and Share
Print


UPDATED 9/11/15
Rainbow over World Trade Center on 9/10/15:






RELATED ARTICLE: The Stock Market Shemitah Cycle

One might consider taking an extended vacation somewhere in the Southern Hemisphere as we approach the 'Fall of 2015'.  I'm not kidding.
Then I heard another voice from heaven say: "'Come out of her, my people,' so that you will not share in her sins, so that you will not receive any of her plagues; for her sins have piled up as high as heaven, and God has remembered her iniquities"... [Revelation 18:4-5]

It seems like all the prognosticating I've been doing for the past couple decades is coming to a head.  I fear that soon the nukes will fly and my glorious return will be at hand.  Hallelujah? I hardly think so, but I am that I am, and it is what it is. How our Creator is going to make HIS-story work out remains to be seen, but I do have faith everything will make sense in the End.  Hopefully by posting this blog with "dates", any chance of an Apocalypse in the near future will be nullified since: ""But about that day or hour no one knows, not even the angels in heaven, nor the Son, but only the Father." [Matthew 24:36]

I've been meaning to blog this final warning for some time, but I just can't come up with the right thoughts and words.  Honestly, I'm utterly sick of thinking about the 'Apocalypse' and how I'm 'Jesus Christ returned'.  I've done my best to delude myself from this reality with booze and the like, but that has only made my life an ever deeper rat hole.

*** THE MYSTERY OF THE SHEMITAH ***

Back in April 2012 I wrote an important blog dubbed "Jonathan Cahn: The Harbinger" in which I pointed out an intriguing relationship between Jewish "Shemitahs" ("Sabbatical" years), which repeat every 7 years, and cycles in the economy and history in general.



I especially noted how the market crashed by 7% on Elul 29, the last day of the year on the Hebrew calendar, in the last two Shemitah years that ended September 17, 2001 and September 29, 2008, respectively - an extraordinarily improbable "coincidence".  Impressively, on 9/29/08 the DJIA closed down 777.7 points, the largest point drop in history to-date and a seeming exclamation point on the relevance of the Shemitah and God's number seven:





Elul 29 in Shemitah years is relevant because this is the day on which debts are to be forgiven according to biblical scriptures.
Personal debts are considered forgiven at sunset on 29 Elul. Since this aspect of shmita is not dependent on the land, it applies to Jews both in Israel and elsewhere. [Wiki
Apparently Jewish Pastor Jonathan Cahn came across my April 2012 blog and was sufficiently inspired by the phenomenon that he wrote a book about it: The Mystery of the Shemitah: The 3,000-Year-Old Mystery That Holds the Secret of America's Future, the World's Future, and Your Future!.  [That Cahn failed to credit me is of little surprise since I claim to be Jesus Christ reincarnated, and I seriously doubt Jonathan will recognize and accept who he himself may be, i.e., John the Baptist reincarnated.]





*** ELUL 29 = SEPTEMBER 13TH ***

So what about the current historical juncture?

We are now in the midst of another Shemitah year on the Hebrew calendar and it set to end on September 13th, i.e., 9/13/15 is the next Elul 29 marking the end of the current Jewish Sabbatical year.

Does this mean the stock market is going to drop 7% again?

Maybe, but I think there might be a little more to the Shemitah this time around.  After all, what point is the Author of our story seeking to make by highlighting the Shemitah and number seven in recent history?

*** THE ADVENT OF THE MESSIANIC AGE? ***

As I read the current situation, there truly is God the Creator and, for whatever reason, the traditional 'seven-day' work week schedule is important to Him.

The Ten Commandments state (Exodus 20:8):
Remember the Sabbath day to sanctify it. Six days shall you work and perform all of your labors. And on the seventh day, which is the Sabbath day unto the Lord your God, you shall do no work... For in six days God made the heavens and the earth, the oceans and all therein, and He rested on the seventh day. Therefore God hath blessed the Sabbath day and sanctified it. [Wiki]
Now bear in mind the following from 2 Peter 3:8, "But do not forget this one thing, dear friends: With the Lord a day is like a thousand years, and a thousand years are like a day."

More from Wikipedia:
According to classical Jewish sources, the Hebrew year 6000 (Gregorian year 2239) marks the latest time for the initiation of the Messianic Age. The Talmud, the Midrash, and the Kabbalistic work, the Zohar, state that the 'deadline' by which the Messiah must appear is 6,000 years from creation. According to tradition, the Hebrew calendar started at the time of Creation, placed at 3761 BC. The current (2014/2015) Hebrew year is 5775. 
The belief that the seventh millennium will correspond to the Messianic Age is founded upon a universalized application of the concept of Shabbat—the 7th day of the week—the sanctified 'day of rest'.
This tradition maintains that each day of the week corresponds to one thousand years of creation. Just as the six days of the workweek culminate in the sanctified seventh day of Shabbat, so too will the six millennia of creation culminate in the sanctified seventh millennium (Hebrew years 6000–7000)—the Messianic Age. 
Just as Shabbat is the sanctified 'day of rest' and peace, a time representing joyful satisfaction with the labors completed within the previous 6 days, so too the seventh millennium will correspond to a universal 'day of rest' and peace, a time of 'completeness' of the 'work' performed in the previous six millennia. 
The Talmud also draws parallels between the Shmita (Sabbatical) year and the seventh millennium: For six 'years', or millennia, the earth will be worked, whilst during the seventh 'year', or millennium, the world will remain 'fallow', in a state of 'rest' and universal peace.
Do you understand what I'm getting at with this line of reasoning?

The divine will of our Creator in human history is in accord with the seven-day work week pattern, i.e., there has been six millenniums of work and now a millennial Sabbath 'day of rest' is due....the prophetic "Messianic Age".  One can surmise that the Messianic Age is near at-hand given that, if you believe me, the Messiah is already here.


For the past ~6000 years man has effectively been doing God's work in the world in terms of discovering and developing the know-how and infrastructure to establish a harmonious Kingdom of God on earth.  The rise of Western Civilization and modern "Capitalist" period has involved exponentially accelerated learning and adoption of technologies so that people can efficiently take care of one another. (In market competition, individuals and firms are competing to better serve and/or produce for each other, i.e., people are systematically learning how to better care for one another.)
"But thou, O Daniel, shut up the words, and seal the book, even to the time of the end: many shall run to and fro, and knowledge shall be increased." Daniel 12:4
In other words, wittingly or not, over the last six millenniums mankind has been gathering the information, ingredients and parts for a global "Kingdom of God".

Of course, this begs the question: How will the "parts" of the Kingdom be put together?

Obviously this is something I've been trying to warn about in my blog for the past five years.

As the Kremlin sees it, the coming global kingdom will be Russia's (under)handiwork and will be established through brute thermonuclear force.

This, I'm afraid, is why the apocalyptic world war depicted in the Bible's Book of Revelation will occur.  After all, how could the current powers-that-be ever release control over the world's resources to allow the establishment of a global society?  How could all the world's debts be released in accordance with the Shemitah to open the way for God's Kingdom on earth?

Even if modern Moscow is some sort of Third Rome (read: Third Reich), the problem is that, as I see it, the divinely planned "Kingdom" of God IS NOT MEANT TO BE A TYRANNICAL MONARCHY TO SERVE SOME KREMLIN CZAR!

My "meaning", following my incarnation as Jesus of Nazareth 2000 years ago, was misconstrued by Constantine and the Roman Empire in the Fourth Century in order to suit the purpose of popular control.  However, tyranny is contrary to my spirit.


I believe it's telltale that Washington D.C. lies at the nexus of VIRGINia and MARYland.


This is because the form of government CONCEIVED by God for HIS/MY KINGdom is a constitutional democratic republic as envisioned by America's Founding Fathers.  After all, this is why Jay Christ originates from the Constitution State in the United States of America and carries the surname "Adams".

Thus, the form God's Kingdom will ultimately take is dependent upon the people of this world rising up and overthrowing the tyrannical global dystopia planned by Russia, China and the Islamic nations who will subjugate this world in the name of religion, esp. Christianity and Islam.  This is a TOTAL LIE I refer to as THEOFASCISM.  What I'm attempting to do here is plant the seeds for a global democratic revolution before the despotic worldwide 'Evil Empire' is even established.


As to when the coming "great transformation of the world" will occur, I can't help but be focused on this coming Autumn.
TO BE CONTINUED...

*** TISHREI 10 = SEPTEMBER 23, 2015: DAY OF ATONEMENT ***








SEE RELATED WorldNetDaily ARTICLE: 
Did Isaac Newton predict major turn in Bible prophecy?



ELLIOTT WAVES AND AUTUMN PANICS

HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF

ECLIPSES AND MISFORTUNES

THE ASSYRIANS AND GOD'S JUDGMENT

BELIEVERS vs. NON-BELIEVERS

MAN vs. GOD

HISTORY IS GOD'S LOVE STORY

THE MILLENNIAL SABBATH
And God said, "Let there be lights in the vault of the sky to separate the day from the night, and let them serve as signs to mark sacred times, and days and years." [Genesis 1:14]
“There will be signs in the sun, moon and stars. On the earth, nations will be in anguish and perplexity at the roaring and tossing of the sea. People will faint from terror, apprehensive of what is coming on the world, for the heavenly bodies will be shaken. At that time they will see the Son of Man coming in a cloud with power and great glory. When these things begin to take place, stand up and lift up your heads, because your redemption is drawing near.” [Luke 21:25-28


A Once in Two Millennial Event! 
How often does a Tetrad of Bloods which all fall on Jewish feast days and in a Shemitah Year occur?  In the top left column you will find two list of years.  The first list of years show the years that a Tetrad of four Blood Moons all occur on Jewish feast days.  This list is from Mark Biltz's book on the Blood Moons.  This has happen just nine times since the time of Christ.  The second list of years show the years in which a Tetrad of Blood Moon occur in Shemitah Years.  This has happened only 10 times in 2000 years.  Only the years 2014-2015 are in both list.  So this is the first time in 2000 years that a Tetrad of four Blood Moons has occurred all on Jewish feast days and in a Shemitah Year!  An unprecedented event. [SOURCE]


*** TISHREI 15-30 = SEPT 28 TO OCT 13 ***

As explained in my Master's Thesis on "Manic-Depressive Man" and repeatedly highlighted in this blog, there is a seasonal tendency for "panics" to occur in mass mood during late-Tishrei on the Hebrew calendar which is usually October on the Gregorian calendar. Typically these waves of collective fear show up on Wall Street in the form of financial panics.

Incredibly, as discovered by Chris Carolan, author of the award-winning 1998 article written, Autumn Panics: A Calendar Phenomenon, the 1929 and 1987 stock market crashes climaxed into the same day on the Hebrew calendar, i.e., the 28th day of the 7th lunar month (Tishrei on the Hebrew calendar):





I took Carolan's discovery a step further utilizing an online Hebrew date converter. What I found is that the tendency is for mass panics to develop between the full moon and new moon in the second half of the 7th month on the lunar calendar which is generally equivalent to the period between Tishrei 15 and Tishrei 30 on the Jewish calendar (usually late-October on the Gregorian calendar). During this annual time window, the following major "panics" took place:

13 October 1857 = Panic of 1857 = 25th of Tishrei, 5618



26 October 1962 = Cuban Missile Crisis = 28th of Tishrei, 5723





24 October 2008 = 2008 Financial Crisis = 25th of Tishrei, 5769

Note that I've included in the list above the October 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis and October 1973 Arab/Israeli Yom Kippur War since, while not reflected in major stock market crashes, these historical crises were still effectively mass panics. This was signified on both occasions by the fact that the highest DEFCON nuclear alerts ever were reached during these crises, actually peaking right into the same time frame of the 7th lunar month as when the stock market crashes in 1929 and 1987 climaxed.

In 2015, Tishrei 15-30 on the Hebrew calendar will fall between September 28th and October 13th on the Gregorian calendar. Thus, with the tetrad "blood moon" lunar eclipse on September 28th this year, we will enter the period when panics tend to kick-off according to mass mood seasonality. If a mass panic develops, it might climax into early-to-mid-October as the historical pattern suggests.

That a lunar eclipse could seemingly "trigger" a coming panic should come as no surprise to anyone who frequents this blog.

With the September 28th lunar eclipse, the world will be in the midst of a "Puetz eclipse crash window".
"Puetz attempted to discover if eclipses and market crashes were somehow connected. Without discussing our own opinion on the potential connection between astronomical configurations and market timing, let's simply relate to you the basic findings discussed by Puetz. He emphasized that he is not contending that full moons close to solar eclipses cause market crashes. But he does conclude that a full moon in general and a lunar (eclipse) full moon close to solar eclipses, in particular, seem to be the triggering device that allows for the rapid transformation of investor psychology from manic greed to paranoia. He asks what the odds are that eight of the greatest market crashes in history would accidentally fall within a time period of six days before to three days after a full moon that occurred within six weeks of a solar eclipse? His answer is that for all eight crashes to accidentally fall within the required intervals would be .23 raised to the eighth power less than one chance in 127,000."

". . .Puetz) used eight previous crashes in various markets from the Holland Tulip Mania in 1637 through the Tokyo crash in 1990. He noted that market crashes tend to be lumped near the full moons that are also lunar eclipses. In fact, he states, the greatest number of crashes start after the first full moon after a solar eclipse when that full moon is also a lunar eclipse . . Once the panic starts, Puetz notes, it generally lasts from two to four weeks. The tendency has been for the markets to peak a few days ahead of the full moon, move flat to slightly lower --waiting for the full moon to pass. Then on the day of the full moon or slightly after, the brunt of the crash hits the marketplace."

All in all, based upon seasonal patterns in mass mood swings, there is a danger the world will experience a mass panic (upset of collective beliefs and expectations) starting around the time of the lunar eclipse September 28th and climaxing into mid-October.

What form might any approaching panic take?


ALSO SEE:


One of Cahn's most revealing points is that the "foundation" of the American Republic symbolically cracked on 9/11:

"....the propitious smiles of Heaven can never be expected on a nation that disregards the eternal rules of order and right which Heaven itself has ordained; and since the preservation of the sacred fire of liberty and the destiny of the republican model of government are justly considered, perhaps, as deeply, as finally, staked on the experiment entrusted to the hands of the American people." - George Washington, First Inaugural Address, New York City, April 30, 1789

Washington's inaugural address was made at Federal Hall after which America's governing representatives worshiped at nearby St. Paul's Chapel. These buildings are near ground zero in lower Manhattan, and on 9/11 the foundation of Federal Hall, where the American republic was 'founded', literally cracked.

There's some other points that the author seems to have overlooked.

Note how former Senator John Edwards is credited with making the "utterance" that seals America's judgment.

Cahn fails to note that Edwards shares the name of Jonathan Edwards, arguably the founding father of American Christianity:

Wiki: Jonathan Edwards (October 5, 1703 – March 22, 1758) was a Christian preacher and theologian. Edwards "is widely acknowledged to be America's most important and original philosophical theologian," and one of America's greatest theologians.

Jonathan Edwards: "The Final Judgment"

"Men must be governed by God or they will be ruled by tyrants." - William Penn

“Right is right, even if everyone is against it; and wrong is wrong, even if everyone is for it.” -William Penn

RELATED BLOG: God's Judgment nears...




Here's a key excerpt from my April 2012 blog on Jonathan Cahn and the Harbinger...

*** THE MYSTERY OF THE SHMITA & THE SEPTENNIAL SABBATICAL CYCLE ***


Here's something really interesting.

In the segments about "The Mystery Of The Shemitah", Cahn points out how the two largest stock market crashes (in terms of Dow points) in 2001 and 2008 occurred on the same day on the Hebrew calendar: Elul 29, which marked the end of the last two "Sabbatical Years" (which occur every seven years). Given my own research findings regarding autumn panics based upon the Hebrew calendar, this really struck a chord.

Indeed, let's start with a simple probability analysis.

The nearly 700 point drop in the DJIA (just over 7%) on 9/17/2001 and 777.7 point drop in the DJIA on 9/29/2008 (just below 7%) were two of the three largest Dow point drops in U.S. history:


These drops occurred on the last day of the Sabbatical Years that occurred between 2000 and 2001 and between 2007 and 2008. This last day of the Sabbatical Year is when debts are to be forgiven per Jewish tradition:
The sabbath year, in Hebrew shmita (Hebrew: שמיטה‎, literally "release"), also called the Sabbatical Year, is the seventh year of the seven-year agricultural cycle mandated by the Torah for the Land of Israel, and still observed in contemporary Judaism.

During Shmita, the land is left to lie fallow and all agricultural activity (including plowing, planting, pruning and harvesting) is forbidden by Torah law. Other cultivation techniques (such as watering, fertilizing, weeding, spraying, trimming and mowing) may be performed as a preventative measure only, not to improve the growth of trees or plants. Additionally, any fruits which grow of their own accord are deemed hefker (ownerless) and may be picked by anyone. A variety of laws also apply to the sale, consumption and disposal of Shmita produce. A second aspect of Shmita concerns debts and loans. When the Shmita year ends, personal debts which are due during that year are considered nullified and forgiven. The Book of Leviticus promises bountiful harvests to those who observe the shmita and makes observance a test of religious faith.
Thus, in the last 15 years, there's only been two days when the Sabbatical Year ended, i.e., 9/17/2001 and 9/29/2008, and on these days two of the three largest point declines in the DJIA in U.S. history occurred. What are the odds of that?

Given 250 trading days per year, seven years entails 3500 possible days in 14 years. As for the last day of the Sabbatical Year, this occurs once every seven years. Since there were two of three days of significance, the odds of Elul 29, 5761 coinciding with one of the three worst point loss days is 1 in 1166. This would be the odds for the second hit as well, i.e., Elul 29, 5769, occurring on one of the three possible days. Thus, the odds for a coincidence of the last day in the Sabbatical Year in 2001 and 2008 both occurring on one of the three largest point declines in stock market history is the multiple of the two probabilities, i.e., one chance in 1361889. (It's actually more significant than this combinatorially since the three largest point declines could be measured against all U.S. stock trading days, but this analysis gives one a good idea of how unlikely such a "coincidence" is.)

So what does this "mean"?

The Sabbatical Year ends on Elul 29, the last day on the Hebrew calendar before the Rosh Hashanah and the Jewish new year. Over the last three decades, Sabbatical Years ended on the following days:

September 23rd, 1987 = Elul 29, 5747
September 5th, 1994 = Elul 29, 5754
September 17, 2001 = Elul 29, 5761
September 29, 2008 = Elul 29, 5769

All years were marked by major reversals in the stock market with acute declines in the autumn period:

1987:

1994:

2001:

2008:

On a long-term historical chart, a 7-year "Sabbatical Cycle" appears:


[One might also note the 1973 Yom Kippur Arab surprise attack on Israel soon after the Sabbatical Cycle Year ended that time around.]

What is the nature of this cycle?


While my thesis highlights the manic-depressive character of these historical cycles, what Jonathan Cahn is helping to reveal is the cycles are also about sin and redemption, which is a key feature of the Judeo-Christian saga spelled out in the Bible.

The bottom line is this IMO. 'Forgiveness of debts' can be achieved one way or another. If those who claim to be doing "god's work" are serving Mammon contrary to God's will for mankind, then this will ultimately be corrected.
History as His Story

Covenant theology presents the Bible’s own framework for salvation, because like the Bible it unfolds the person and work of Jesus Christ. When Paul wrote, “For all the promises of God find their Yes in him” (2 Cor. 1:20), he was pointing to God’s covenant promises. What has God promised as His gift of grace? The answer is found in His covenants, which offer life, preservation, a land of promise, a glorious people, a ministering priest, a righteous king, and an atoning lamb. These promises are all Yes and Amen only as we trust in the life, death, and resurrection of Jesus, the Christ of the covenants. The Bible history taught by covenant theology is truly His story, so that we might find the fullness of God’s grace in Jesus Christ alone.

Redemptive History by Richard Phillips
Is it any wonder that the instruments of the coming chastisement of God's people are operating in the name of Islam (submission to God's will) and Communism (to share one's wealth)? [Not that that makes these forces sincere and righteous....au contraire...]


"America will be totally destroyed." - Col. Stanislav Lunev, the highest ranking defector from Russian military intelligence


Friday, July 17, 2015

(FROM LAST YEAR) The Downing of Malaysian Airlines MH17: A Conspiracy Within a Conspiracy

Bookmark and Share
Print


Since this article is fairly long and in-depth, I've created a video version of it below: 

"History is a capricious creature.
It depends on who writes it."

- Former Soviet Premier, Mikhail Gorbachev

One of the Kremlin's primary strategic objectives is controlling the historical narrative.  In it's competition with Western democracies, Russian "intelligence" long ago realized that shaping popular Western opinion was the effective way to shape the West's foreign policies since democratic states, in contrast to authoritarian states, are ultimately managed by public choice.  Hence, by shaping the historical narrative Westerners believe in, the Kremlin can effectively direct the U.S. and its allies in whatever way Moscow's ruling elite deems most strategic.

Last week Malaysian Airlines Flight MH17 was shot down by a BUK (SA-11) surface-to-air missile over the Donetsk region of Ukraine where Russian 'separatists' are fighting with Ukrainian military forces.  The narrative the world is supposed to believe is that this occurred because Russian separatists, enabled by Moscow, accidentally shot down the passenger airliner, mistaking it for a Ukrainian military aircraft.  
From RussiaToday:
Unnamed US officials are telling Associated Press that their intelligence suggests Malaysia plane shot down by anti-Kiev militia, no link to Russia found. 
Officials believe that the passenger aircraft was intercepted by an SA-11 surface-to-air missile, which was fired by Ukrainian militia members. One official said the likeliest explanation was the aircraft was shot down in error, an assertion that seem to be bolstered by the previous downing of 12 Ukrainian military aircraft by militants in the region. 
Intelligence suggests that, although the US maintains that Russia "created the conditions" that led to the incident, officials were not aware of the presence of any Russians during the missile launch, and would not confirm that the missile crew was trained in Russia.
Is this narrative true?  

U.S. 'intelligence' (an oxymoron if ever there was one) appears to think so. 

Is the only conspiracy here the attempt by Russia's government to cover-up its involvement in shooting down Flight MH17?  Or is there a grander conspiracy at work?

For the truth, let's start at the beginning of the Flight MH17 narrative.

JUMPING THE GUN

Just before the the crash of Flight MH17, Russian stocks dived.  As can been seen, the U.S. traded Russia ETF (RSX) plunged around four percent at the opening in New York:


This opening plunge occurred at 9:30 EDT, almost an hour before Flight MH17 crashed.  A further drop in RSX occurred once news hit that the Malaysian Airlines passenger jet was shot down over eastern Ukraine, but this subsequent fall was smaller than what occurred at the open.
  
Were some investors in Russian stocks aware ahead of time of what was about to happen?

There's a case to be made of Russian foreknowledge of the downing of MH17.

From The U.K. Telegraph article, "Malaysia Airlines plane crash - July 17 as it happened", we see that the MH17 crash timeline began as follows:
16.15 Interfax news agency are claiming that a Malaysian passenger plane has crashed in Ukraine, near the Russian border. 
"A Boeing Malaysian Airlines that was flying from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur began to descend about 50km before entering Russian airspace, and was subsequently found burning on the ground in kraine," an aviation source told Interfax. 
Interfax said that 295 people were on board at the time.
What's interesting about this is the second event in the Telegraph's timeline:
16.20 The plane is thought to have crashed near Shaktersk.
Is this timing correct?  Let's check the MH17 flight data:


The last time the position of Flight MH17 was reported before it disappeared from radar was 1:20pm UTC which is 16:20 UK time, so the missile struck and plane crashed just after that moment.

But if Flight MH17 crashed after 16:20 UK time, how is it that Russia's Interfax news agency reported the crash at 16:15 UK time?  Surely this must somehow be mistaken.

Is it?

Let's check the UK Mail Online on this point.  From the article, "Did MH17 pilot divert INTO the danger zone? Aviation expert claims captain made last-minute change of course over Ukraine because he 'felt uncomfortable", we read:
It's also suspicious, Dr Sutyagin said, that Russian news agency RIA Novosti reported the crash at 16.13 Moscow time, several minutes before the crash actually happened - at 16.20. 
'The plane is safely in the sky, and RIA Novosti publishes information that it has been shot down,' he said.
How interesting; two separate Russian news agencies, Interfax and RIA Novosti, seem to have literally jumped the gun in reporting the downing of Flight Malaysian Airlines Flight MH17.  It's almost as if Russia's news services had the story ready-to-go and mistakenly released news of the planned tragedy before it happened.

One can dismiss this seeming Russian foreknowledge of the downing of MH17 as Russian investors spooked by news of new sanctions and errors on the part of UK news agencies, but there are other other reasons to be suspicious about the MH17 narrative to-date.

SOME MISTAKE

To believe that Russian separatists accidentally shot down Flight MH17, one has to buy the idea that the militants didn't realize they were firing their newly acquired BUK missile system upon a commercial airliner as opposed to a Ukrainian warplane.  However, this is hard to believe.

From the UK Daily Mail Online article, "Was MH17 flying through warzone to save fuel?":
Prof Shanks said it was 'extremely unusual' for political disputes to spill over and endanger the lives of civilians travelling in commercial flights in the skies above. 
And he suggested those behind the shooting 'deliberately' targeted a passenger plane as it would have been obvious from its appearance that it was a commercial aircraft and posed no military threat. 
He said: 'This is probably the first time this has happened in recent history. The aircraft was flying at such a height that it is unlikely to have been a military aircraft. 
'You would be able to tell it was a civilian aircraft not a military aircraft with the naked eye because of the jet plumes behind it. 
'This would almost certainly have to be a deliberate act, for whatever reason - we can only speculate. 
'It should have been quite visible to people on the ground that it was a civilian aircraft, by the size of it and the shape of it. Anyone who has looked at a civilian aircraft or large military aircraft will know the difference.'
In fact, whoever shot down Flight MH17 could have determined they were targeting a commercial airliner simply by checking with a cell phone
Technology available to anyone with a smartphone allows aircraft easily to be tracked - with real-time details of airline, flight number, heading and altitude provided.
So the world is left to believe that Russian separatists, newly equipped with a BUK launcher that can shoot down planes up to 50000 feet in the sky, forewent using their cell phones or even their very eyes in firing off a missile towards a large target 33000 feet high flying where passenger airlines pass with regular frequency.  

That's a pretty far-fetched narrative to buy into IMHO.

INTERCEPT IDIOCY

In the immediate wake of the crash, Ukraine's intelligence agency (SBU) released purported communications intercepts between Russian separatists fighting in the eastern Ukraine that implicated the separatists in shooting down the Malaysian airliner:



Note the conversation between Cossack leader Nikolai Kozitsyn and a militant at the 1:50 mark in the YouTube video above.  Here's what's interesting about this conversation where Kozitsyn suggests the Malaysian passenger flight must have been "bringing spies".  

In early June, Cossack Kozitysn had another conversation intercepted by the SBU that implicated him in terrorism inside Ukraine.  This intercept is highlighted in an online "Ukraine Investigation" posted on a web site dubbed, "RUSSIAN COSSACKS ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR TERROR IN UKRAINE (INTERCEPTED CONVERSATION)".


If Cossack Kozitsyn had a conversation intercepted in early June implicating him in Ukraine terrorism, why would he be so foolish as to engage in another communication after the downing of Flight MH17 that would implicate him in an incident for which he could be held accountable by the international community?  

It strikes me that there are two possibilities here.  One is that Kozitsyn used the same means of communication he had used in June knowing that the SBU would likely intercept his conversation.  The second possibility is that these revealing intercepts were created by the SBU in concert with Russian intelligenece to help forge a historical narrative for the world to believe.

While the latter may seem hard to believe, one should bear in mind that less than a year ago the SBU was tightly controlled by Moscow under the Russian-serving Yanukovych Administration. What's more, the SBU was clandestinely instrumental in the seeming revolution by pro-Western forces that most likely was not what it appeared to be, something I highlighted earlier this year.  

Is everyone really so foolish as to believe the SBU suddenly switched to working for a Western-oriented Ukraine government at the flip of a political switch?  Did the Russian KGB changing its name to the FSB really mean a difference?

If you have trouble believing that Ukraine authorities may have had a hand in concocting a historical narrative written ahead of time by the Kremlin, then I suggest you consider another mysterious part of this tale.

MYSTERIOUS OVERSIGHT BY UKRAINE AUTHORITIES

Why were passenger airlines being permitted to fly over the war zone in eastern Ukraine in the first place?

From the Wall Street Journal article, "Ukraine Knew of Separatists' Air-Defense Capabilities, Say Officials":
Ukraine intelligence officials said they knew three days before the downing of Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 that rebels in the east of the country possessed sophisticated air-defense systems capable of felling a jetliner at altitudes in excess of where the Boeing 777 was flying. 
The disclosure deepens the mystery of why Ukrainian aviation officials failed to entirely close off the airspace in the Donetsk region, where the jet was flying went it was shot down, killing all 298 people on board. 
Three Buk-M1 medium-range antiaircraft systems, also known as the SA-11 Gadfly under the North Atlantic Treaty Organization designation, were known to be in rebel hands as early as July 14, said Vitaly Nayda, the head of the counterintelligence division of Ukraine's security service. 
Ukraine imposed a partial flight ban in the region on flights below 26,000 feet on July 1, and raised the ceiling of the exclusion area to 32,000 feet on July 14. The Malaysia Airlines plane was flying at 33,000 feet. 
The altitude restrictions on commercial flights were raised after rebel separatists backed by Moscow on July 14 shot down a Ukrainian military Antonov An-26 transport plane with eight people on board over the skies of the Luhansk region. The aircraft was flying at 21,000 feet. 
Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 was not the first plane to be shot out of Ukraine's skies. The country's civil unrest between pro-Russian and pro-Ukraine forces has caused many more this month alone. 
"I can't think of any reason why you would increase a restriction to 32,000 feet when the bad boys have just demonstrated a capability to go all the way," said a European aviation safety veteran. The airspace should have been closed, he said.
What if this seeming 'mistake' by Ukrainian aviation officials was no mistake at all?

MH17's FLIGHT PATH DIVERSION

To get an idea of how far down the Rabbit Hole the real Russian MH17 conspiracy goes, let's consider the flight path diversion of the Malaysian airliner.

Many have noted that the July 17th flight path of MH17 deviated significantly from the normal route for the flight.  Normally MH17 would not fly over the Donetsk region of Ukraine where Russian separatists have recently been shooting down Ukrainian war planes.  It did, however, on July 17th:


As can be seen, over Polish air space MH17 jogged northeast for a brief time and then returned to "direct routing" following the "great circle" path to its destination which is the shortest, most fuel-efficient path interconnecting two points on the earth's sphere.  Thus, the diversion over Polish airspace was precisely what it took to get the passenger airliner to cross over the conflict zone in eastern Ukraine presuming that the pilot would thereafter follow direct routing to Kuala Lumpur. 

Did an air traffic controller in Poland intentionally reroute Flight MH17 so that it could be targeted by an SA-11 surface-to-air missile over eastern Ukraine?

Bringing Poland into the conspiratorial equation might seem like a real stretch, except Russia has made a special effort to bring the Polish government under its control.  In fact, in a very similar manner as the new MH17 tragedy, Moscow orchestrated the 2010 crash of Polish Air Force Tu-154 near the city of Smolensk, Russia, killing then president Lech Kaczyński and much of Poland's political and military high command:


The smoking gun evidence of this act of mass assassination is a cell phone video uploaded to the internet shortly after the Smolensk crash that shows Russian soldiers shooting remaining survivors on the ground in cold blood:


What is hopefully clear from the 2010 Polish Air Force Tu-154 crash is that Russia is more than depraved enough to have plotted the shoot down of Flight MH17.  Furthermore, one can only presume the government of Donald Tusk that replaced the anti-Russian Administration of Lech Kaczyński was placed there by Moscow to serve Kremlin interests.  Hence, Polish secret services, much like Ukrainian intelligence, are not to be trusted and could very well have seen to it that Flight MH17 was rerouted to pass over the war zone in eastern Ukraine to be shot down.

Of course, there's no reason to think Russia meant to target Flight MH17 specifically, although taking down a Malaysian Airliner in the wake of the disappearance of Flight MH370 might have been deemed more newsworthy.  It's possible that MH17 just happened to be the unfortunate flight selected for a target by the Russian-speaking BUK operators out of many passenger airliners that flew over the Donetsk region of Ukraine that day.  Notably, Singapore Airlines SQ351 (B777) and Air India AI113 (B787) were in the vicinity of Malaysia Airlines MH17 when it was hit by a missile.  Thus, the rerouting of Flight MH17 is not a necessary condition for the historical narrative Russia has devised.

RUSSIA'S FAILURE TO COVER-UP

One of the compelling reasons cited for Russian involvement in the downing of Flight MH17 is the apparent efforts of Russian authorities to eliminate incriminating evidence in the wake of the tragedy.  An example of this was how the BUK missile system allegedly used to take down the passenger airliner was hauled back to Russia soon after the crash.  Ukraine's interior ministry released a video which purportedly shows the BUK launcher missing two missiles thus indicating that the unit had been used:


More video of the BUK was reportedly captured soon after it crossed into Russian territory:


There's a notable difference between the two videos above.  In the first one, where you can see missing missiles, there is no tarp cover atop the BUK system.  Why is that?  If the goal was to slip the missile launcher out of Ukraine and back into Russia surreptitiously, why did the militants and/or Russians involved in the operation fail to cover the launcher up with a tarp?

Is it possible the first video showing a BUK with missing missiles reflects an effort to stir Western suspicions that Russia was involved in shooting down Flight MH17?  If so, why?

FORGIVE RUSSIA FOR WHAT?

Probably the most telling example of Moscow's MH17 machinations is that, in the wake of the tragedy, outside the Danish embassy in Moscow, Russians have purportedly left bundles of flowers, stuffed animals, and notes (written in English of course) pleading for the world to 'forgive them':


So even though Russian news media has proffered one implausible conspiracy theory after another in a seeming attempt to distance Moscow from blame in the downing of Flight MH17, the Kremlin stages a scene outside the Danish embassy to demonstrate that the Russian people really care, have a sense of what really happened and want forgiveness?  How heart-warming!  Common Russians see through the Kremlin's conspiracy to obstruct international justice, understand their government's involvement and are sorry.

Unfortunately, the truth of this historical narrative is that Malaysian Airlines Flight MH17 was intentionally, not accidentally, shot down by Russia over eastern Ukraine for its own diabolical motives.  The Kremlin's ruling elite aren't sorry in the least and the Russian people are as misled as the rest of the world as to their government's twisted pursuits.

RUSSIA'S MOTIVE

I believe the true conspiracy is that Flight MH17 was shot down over the war zone in eastern Ukraine in order to internationalize the Russia-Ukraine conflict as part of the Kremlin's ultimate historical plan to wage and win a surprise third world war against the West.  The tragedy that unfolded last week was no accident.  The Kremlin wants the world to believe the downing of MH17 was the result of a mistake by Russian separatists fighting in eastern Ukraine.  What's more, Moscow is seeking to inflame Western anger by denying involvement and obstructing international efforts to investigate the crash.  

Why? 

My best guess at this point is that Russia is seeking to pick a fight with the U.S. and its allies over Ukraine in a manner that minimizes the perceived aggressiveness of Moscow.  After all, it would be awful if the war-mongering imperialist West started a world war over a Russian 'accident'!  Moscow is seeking to lure NATO into military involvement to defend Ukraine against Russian military aggression to provide an excuse for launching world war three in manner that seems 'justified':
The Soviets never start a war. By definition, the United States or, more generally speaking, "imperialism is the source of all antagonistic conflicts of the present day world, the source of war danger."[General Major A.S. Milovidov, quoted in Soviet Strategy For Nuclear War, p.98] 
It would be foolhardy, to say the least, for the West to continue to be misled into the fight Russia is itching for as this war will not end in our favor.
Related Posts with Thumbnails